After an exciting Saturday, I wanted to take a look at some teams that either helped or hurt their bubble chances. Despite all of the action, only 2 teams moved up enough on the Cro-Curve to get into the at-large picture. La Salle and Arizona St. are now in. Alabama and Wyoming are now out.
Teams That Moved Up the Most
Villanova: The Wildcats moved all the way from 67 to 57 after their second win this week over a top 5 team. Villanova came back to defeat Syracuse in OT in stunning fashion, and after they’ve proven that they can beat the best, they are sure to be in the at-large conversation.
Virginia: Although beating BC is no significant accomplishment, Virginia just needs wins at this point. Some may believe the ‘Hoos are safely in the dance, but I beg to differ. UVA is 0-3 against the CAA, including a loss against 2-17 Old Dominion. Wins over UNC, Wisconsin and Tennessee are nice, but they might not be enough. The win yesterday brought Virginia closer to the bubble.
Saint Mary’s: At 17-4, the Gaels have to be looked at as another WCC at-large team. Similar to UVA, their win over Pepperdine was not all that significant, but each win gets the Gaels closer and closer to the big dance. The win at BYU should help, but the Gaels at this point probably still need more.
La Salle: As mentioned above, the Explorers win at VCU on Saturday was massive. Not only did that win catapult La Salle back into my bracket, I have them as the final team on the 11 line. The only real blemish on the resume is a home loss to Central Connecticut St. in the 2nd game of the season, but since then, the Explorers have gone 13-4 with all 4 losses coming on the road against either tournament teams or bubble teams. La Salle has done everything right. They just need to keep it up.
Teams That Hurt Their Chances
Texas A&M: The Aggies were once 12-3 and coming off a huge win at Rupp. Now, Texas A&M has some serious work to do to get back into the at-large picture. The latest struggle was an embarrassing home loss to an under .500 Georgia team.
Arkansas: This is the perfect example of what happens when you lose to an average team. Arkansas had beat the teams they were supposed to beat and lost to the teams they were supposed to lose to. Other than a narrow home victory over Oklahoma, the Razorbacks had not done much to enhance their case. A drubbing at the hands of South Carolina has severely hurt their chances, and they will need to rip off a number of wins to get back into it.
Boise St.: Boise St. was in the same boat as Arkansas. They started off 13-2 and even got a win at Creighton. They were in the at-large discussion all across the basketball world. Things have taken a turn for the worse over the past two weeks. Being blown out by Nevada has slid the Broncos much further down in the pecking order. Boise St’s next 5 games are @ Colorado State, home v. UNLV, @San Diego St., home v. Wyoming, and @ New Mexico. We’ll know soon whether this team is a serious contender.